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"Taiwan independence" poses biggest threat for national security (3)
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16:34, September 11, 2007

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"Taiwan independence" to induce Sino-US direct confrontation

Peace and development remains as the theme of this era, as indicated as the general trend of the international situation, and the situation across the Taiwan Strait continues to develop in the direction favorable to the reunification of the motherland. People should nevertheless note sober-mindedly that external factors affecting the reunification of the motherland are numerous and complicated and the American factor poses the greatest obstacle for China''s complete reunification.

Three generations of Chinese leaders have made clear-cut enunciations on how the U.S. factor affects the Taiwan issue. The United States has actively upgraded its substantial ties with Taiwan in a bid to contain or restrict China with its "Taiwan card" so as to perpetuate, regularize and legalize the status quo.

Furthermore, at the "2+2" meeting in February 2005, the U.S. and Japan even orbited the Taiwan issue into their common strategic goal and attempted to interfere openly with the issue. This indicates that the situation across the strait is once out of control, military clashes would likely phase in and a possibility for Sino-U.S. clashes cannot entirely be ruled out by then. In case of military clashes across the Strait, as some American scholars have worried, the US government might not be able to stand pressures from Congress, interest groups, media and populace at large for a "wrong war" to be fought once again with the "wrong enemy" despite its unwillingness to be involved in any war with China strategically.

So various wrong signals from the United States have bolstered secessionist activities of the "Taiwan independence" forces. As a matter of fact, this not only facilitates invoking differences and even some kinds of conflicts between China and the U.S. on the Taiwan issue and other major security issues, but will inevitably result in a type of binding security tension across the Taiwan strait.

By Zhou Zhihuai, deputy director general of the Institute of Taiwan Studies under the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and translated by People''s Daily Online
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