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China can avoid middle income trap due to productivity improvement

(Xinhua)

08:35, November 15, 2012

SINGAPORE, Nov. 14 (Xinhua) -- China can easily avoid what is known as the middle income trap given its still rapidly growing productivity, said Frank Gong, managing director of J.P.Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) Limited.

Speaking at the CapitaLand International Forum in Singapore on Wednesday, Gong said China's gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to double in nine years even if its growth slowed to 8 percent in nominal terms, or 5 percent in real terms.

The Chinese economy has achieved 9.9 percent of real growth per annum on average over the past 30 years, and the nominal growth was around 15 percent, he added.

Gong said he is confident that China can "easily" achieve that if it continues to push forward market-based reforms.


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